Smooth’s Oscar Picks!

I haven’t seen a movie in the theaters since last fall. In fact, I haven’t seen hardly any of the nominated films in this year’s Academy Awards.

But, I’m going to give it a shot. Much of my predictions is part-hunch, part-expertize.

Best Animated Feature

How to Train Your Dragon
The Illusionist
Toy Story 3

Analysis: Finally, after all these years, Woody, Buzz Lightyear and friends finally bring the statue home in the category that counts! It’s another runaway victory for Pixar/Disney.

Smooth’s pick – Toy Story 3

Best Original Screenplay

Another Year
The Fighter
Inception
The Kids Are All Right
The King’s Speech

Best Adapted Screenplay

127 Hours
The Social Network
Toy Story 3
True Grit
Winter’s Bone

Analysis – Most of my predictions for screenwriting are pretty accurate. Last year was the first time I didn’t get one right (Precious).

Smooth’s pick: Inception, Written by Christopher Nolan for Best Original Screenplay

Smooth’s pick: The Social Network, Screenplay by Aaron Sorkin for Best Adapted Screenplay

Best Supporting Actor

Christian Bale – The Fighter
John Hawkes – Winter’s Bone
Mark Ruffalo – The Kids Are All Right
Jeremy Renner – The Town
Geoffrey Rush – The King’s Speech

Analysis – This is more of a lifetime achievement award for Bale. He’s been acting since he was 13 (Empire of the Sun). He also really had plenty of allocates for his performance.

Smooth’s pick: Christian Bale – The Fighter

Best Supporting Actress

Amy Adams – The Fighter
Helena Bonham Carter – The King’s Speech
Melissa Leo – The Fighter
Hailee Steinfeld – True Grit
Jacki Weaver – Animal Kingdom

Analysis – My pick was originally Amy Adams for “The Fighter”. But with co-star Melissa Leo also in contention, the vote should be split down the middle, leading to a surprise victory.

Smooth’s pick: Haliee Steinfield – True Grit

Best Actor

Javier Bardem – Biutiful
Jeff Bridges – True Grit
Jesse Eisenberg – The Social Network
Colin Firth – The King’s Speech
James Franco – 127 Hours

Analysis – Firth’s immersion into the role of George VI really gave the Academy something to vote for this season. He should win this contest, although watch out for Jeff Bridges to sneak up a win in a repeat.

Smooth’s pick: Colin Firth – The King’s Speech

Best Actress

Annette Bening – The Kids Are All Right
Nicole Kidman – Rabbit Hole
Jennifer Lawrence – Winter’s Bone
Natalie Portman – Black Swan
Michelle Williams – Blue Valentine

Analysis – This will be a “fight” between Portman and Annette Benning for her performance in “The Kids Are All Right”. If she does win, she’ll join Alec Guinness as an Oscar acting winner from the ‘Star Wars’ franchise.

Smooth’s pick: Natalie Portman – Black Swan

Best Director

Darren Aronofsky – Black Swan
David O. Russell – The Fighter
Tom Hooper – The King’s Speech
David Fincher – The Social Network
Joel & Ethan Coen – True Grit

Analysis – Nine times out of ten, the Director’s Guild usually picks the winner of this category. The winner in this category usually means the film also wins Best Picture.

Smooth’s pick: Tom Hooper – The King’s Speech

Best Picture

Black Swan
The Fighter
Inception
The Kids Are All Right
The King’s Speech
127 Hours
The Social Network
Toy Story 3
True Grit
Winter’s Bone

Analysis – I don’t like the addition of five more films. It seems to dilute the process. Still, it does make for excitement, as more films receive votes. It’s a toss-up between “Speech” and “The Social Network”.

Smooth’s pick – The King’s Speech

See you at the movies!

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About smoothjazzandmore

I'm a TV producer and an Internet radio broadcaster. I also write for my blogs (An Op-Ed Blog and a Football Blog) here at WordPress.
This entry was posted in Academy Awards, Movies, Oscars, Predictions. Bookmark the permalink.

One Response to Smooth’s Oscar Picks!

  1. I always love reading your blog. It always give me informative topics. And I thank you for that. ~~Dining Tables

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